WM Beats Expectations in Q1 (Revenue up 10%)
Waste Management (WM) announced its first quarter earnings today. The Company started off this industry earnings season strong with revenue of $4.11B, which is up 10.2% year over year (YOY). WM also increased its 2021 financial guidance with confidence based on these solid results.
“It was said many times last year that 2020 was a year like no other,” noted Jim Fish, Waste Management’s president and CEO, on the earnings call. But, he went on to say, “the best companies use tough times to better themselves, and [our] first quarter of 2021 showed that with an exclamation point.” He further explained that, “We had an exceptionally strong start to the year with first quarter adjusted operating EBITDA growth of more than 14% and adjusted operating EBITDA margin expansion of 100 basis points.” And, “We achieved these results by generating strong yield, flexing down our cost structure, and executing on the integration of Advanced Disposal. With this solid performance and our confidence in the strength of our business model, we are increasing our 2021 financial guidance that we provided in February for revenue, adjusted operating EBITDA and free cash flow.”
“In addition to the strong performance of our core business, the integration of Advanced Disposal is going remarkably well. Based upon the success of the integration efforts so far, we believe we will capture synergies above our original expectations. We now expect to achieve $130 million in annual run-rate synergies from operating costs and SG&A savings, which is a more than 60% increase from our initial estimates. The revised estimate includes between $75 million and $85 million in run-rate synergies captured during 2021, up from our prior guidance of between $50 million and $60 million.”
Fish emphasized WM’s ongoing commitment to putting “people first, then customers, then we focus on our business.” This, he said, “produces the best results.” He indicated that the business was seeing its renewable-energy investments paying off and noted that, “WM is well positioned to leverage its ESG leadership,” as it is in a “unique position” to help key stakeholders rise to the challenges related to ESG.
Fish also expressed “confidence that our decision to accelerate technology investments was the right one” and noted that the Company’s end-to-end digital transformation is streamlining the customer experience.
Q1 2021 KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Revenue
In the first quarter of 2021, revenue declined $5 million in the Company’s collection and disposal business, when excluding the impact of acquisitions and divestitures, compared to the first quarter of 2020, driven by $98 million in volume declines partially offset by $93 million of growth from yield.
Core price for the first quarter of 2021 was 3.4% compared to 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2020 and 4.2% in the first quarter of 2020.
Collection and disposal yield was 2.8% in the first quarter of 2021 compared to 2.3% in the fourth quarter of 2020 and 2.2% in the first quarter of 2020.
Total Company volumes declined 2.7% in the first quarter of 2021, or 2.1% on a workday adjusted basis, compared to a decline of 2.6% on a workday adjusted basis in the fourth quarter of 2020 and a decline of 0.4% on a workday adjusted basis in the first quarter of 2020.
In the first quarter of 2021, acquisitions, net of divestitures, added $292 million of revenue primarily from the acquisition of Advanced Disposal.
Profitability
Operating EBITDA in the Company’s collection and disposal business, adjusted on the same basis as total Company operating EBITDA, was $1.29 billion, or 31.8% of revenue, for the first quarter of 2021, compared to $1.18 billion, or 31.3% of revenue, for the first quarter of 2020.
Operating EBITDA in the Company’s recycling line of business improved by $34 million compared to the first quarter of 2020. The improvement was driven by the Company’s efforts to develop a sustainable business model that also meets customers’ environmental needs as well as an increase in market prices for recycled commodities.
In the first quarter of 2021, the Company realized $12 million of operating and SG&A cost synergies from the acquisition of Advanced Disposal.
Future Outlook
Total Company revenue growth is expected to be 12.5% to 13%.
Adjusted operating EBITDA is expected to be between $4.875 billion - $4.975 billion in 2021.
Free cash flow is projected to be between $2.325 billion - $2.425 billion in 2021.
Synergies from the acquisition of Advanced Disposal are expected to total $150 million, with $130 million coming from operating costs and SG&A savings and $20 million coming from capital expenditure savings.
Fish concluded, “We’ve previously discussed that Waste Management is well positioned to benefit as states and provinces emerge from the pandemic. We expect strong results as our commercial, industrial and landfill businesses—our three most profitable lines of business—continue to recover over the remainder of the year.” He expressed confidence that the Company will “emerge from the pandemic stronger and more agile.”
Fish also mentioned that Tara Hemmer, senior vice president, Field Operations, will be taking a new role as SVP, chief sustainability officer effective July 1. This is another sign that WM is taking their sustainability goals seriously as we head out of this pandemic.
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